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This Currency May Be Getting Ready to Jump as the Greenback Weakens: Technical Analysis

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The Australian dollar has squeezed into an increasingly tight range all year. Futures traders may want to be ready in case a breakout occurs.

First, Bollinger Bandwidth is near long-term lows on both the daily and weekly charts. This isn’t necessarily bullish, however it’s interesting when you consider other positive forces at work. One of those items is the dovish Federal Reserve and weak U.S. dollar. Another is the ongoing rallies in materials like copper and iron ore. The Australian dollar typically follows those commodities .

Diplomatic tensions with China are currently holding back the Aussie. However, that creates the potential for a breakout if things improve.

Next, consider the stair-stepping price action…

For more, please click here to view the related idea and chart analysis on TradingView.

Australian dollar, daily chart, with key patterns, courtesy of TradingView.

About the author

David Russell is VP of Market Intelligence at TradeStation Group. Drawing on two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them apprised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.