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Market Insights

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The S&P 500’s Channel Is at Risk: Chart Study

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Two weeks ago, we highlighted some potential topping patterns on the S&P 500 . It’s played out as expected, and now attention turns to the price channel highlighted in that idea.

Notice how prices ranged from the bottom to the top of the channel since November, including the middle of this month. But something changed this week because SPX didn’t return to the upper line. Instead, it formed a lower high after hitting a wall of sellers.

Next, consider that the all-time high occurred at 9:48 a.m. ET on Tuesday, February 16. That was beginning of the week because of President’s Day. Such early buying without follow-through can be a sign of exhaustion.

For more, please click here to view the related idea and chart analysis on TradingView.

S&P 500, daily chart, with select indicators, courtesy of TradingView.

About the author

David Russell is VP of Market Intelligence at TradeStation Group. Drawing on two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them apprised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.