Agendas
Don’s Notebook May 3, 2018

Don’s Notebook May 3, 2018

Don’s Notebook May 3, 2018 March looks to have been a very good month for the trade balance, the month when tariffs and trade wars first hit the news. The trade deficit fell in March to $49.0 billion with the Chinese deficit, narrowing to $25.9 billion from February's...

Don’s Notebook May 1, 2018

Don’s Notebook May 1, 2018

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM report) came in lower than Street consensus at 57.3 (vs. estimates of 57.5-60.) This survey asks purchasing managers about the general direction of production, new orders, order backlogs, their own inventories, customer...

Don’s Notebook April 27, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 27, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 27, 2018 Today's GDP report was keyed to consumer spending levels. A sharp rise in service spending helped keep first-quarter GDP in the respectable range, at an annualized 2.3 percent rate and 3 tenths above Street estimates. Service spending...

Don’s Notebook April 26, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 26, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 26, 2018 Durable goods were expected to post another month of strength including for capital goods, results that would confirm acceleration for the factory sector. Excluding transportation equipment, however, durable goods orders came in...

Don’s Notebook April 19, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 19, 2018

This morning’s pre-market Initial Jobless claim report was favorable, at 232,000 in the April 14 week. This is 5,000 higher than the mid-March reading which offers a sample-week to sample-week comparison for the monthly employment report. A rise in jobless claims may...

Don’s Notebook April 13, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 13, 2018

For today’s trade observers tell us to should watch for labor market stress in the JOLTS report and whether job openings continue to far outpace hirings. The preliminary reading for April of the University of Michigan Consumer sentiment index came in below the low...

Don’s Notebook April 11, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 11, 2018

Stocks were lower on the opening this morning. Observers attributed the weakness to the military situation in Syria. Gold, Treasuries and Yen rose on the news. Russia’s ruble extended its three-day slump in trading this morning as foreign investors cut their holdings...

Don’s Notebook April 10, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 10, 2018

Will the first impact of March's steel and aluminum tariffs appear in today's producer price report? Wall Street consensus calls for only a marginal 0.1 percent gain. Stay tuned… Small business optimism cooled more substantially than expected in March after...

Don’s Notebook April 6, 2018

Don’s Notebook April 6, 2018

Strong payroll growth without wage pressure could be a solid combination for the stock market. But payroll growth with wage pressure might not be. March payroll growth of 103,000 is below expectations but wage indications from average hourly earnings do show a little...

How Friday the 13th could be lucky this year

How Friday the 13th could be lucky this year

Will Friday the 13th be lucky this year? Here are some reasons it might. That's when earnings season really gets going, led by major financials like Citigroup (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC). And, unless you've been ignoring all the news, you probably...